Pre-tourney Rankings
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2016-17


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
83 Monmouth 1.0%   27 - 6 18 - 2 27 - 6 18 - 2 +5.8      +2.6 99 +3.3 82 76.8 23 +8.8 63 +9.4 1
123 St. Peter's 0.0%   19 - 13 14 - 6 19 - 13 14 - 6 +2.3      -2.2 224 +4.5 65 55.4 348 -0.2 164 +1.9 2
127 Iona 100.0%   14   22 - 12 12 - 8 22 - 12 12 - 8 +1.9      +3.4 83 -1.5 213 73.1 58 +2.1 130 -0.9 4
178 Siena 0.0%   17 - 17 12 - 8 17 - 17 12 - 8 -0.7      +1.4 132 -2.0 234 68.1 165 -0.9 180 -0.6 3
196 Canisius 0.0%   18 - 15 10 - 10 18 - 15 10 - 10 -1.7      +2.0 117 -3.7 277 71.2 93 -1.2 185 -3.1 7
212 Fairfield 0.0%   16 - 14 11 - 9 16 - 14 11 - 9 -3.2      -4.2 275 +0.9 141 69.9 116 -1.4 188 -1.5 5
217 Rider 0.0%   18 - 15 10 - 10 18 - 15 10 - 10 -3.5      -2.8 243 -0.7 189 75.7 32 -2.2 203 -3.1 6
266 Niagara 0.0%   10 - 23 6 - 14 10 - 23 6 - 14 -6.5      -3.8 269 -2.7 248 71.5 87 -8.4 293 -8.1 9
289 Manhattan 0.0%   10 - 22 5 - 15 10 - 22 5 - 15 -8.1      -5.4 304 -2.7 247 68.8 144 -7.4 277 -9.5 11
303 Quinnipiac 0.0%   10 - 21 7 - 13 10 - 21 7 - 13 -9.0      -3.3 257 -5.7 313 79.3 12 -7.6 280 -6.3 8
308 Marist 0.0%   8 - 24 5 - 15 8 - 24 5 - 15 -9.6      -3.3 255 -6.3 318 66.3 218 -9.0 302 -9.2 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Monmouth 1.0 100.0
St. Peter's 2.0 100.0
Iona 3.0 100.0
Siena 3.0 100.0
Canisius 6.0 100.0
Fairfield 5.0 100.0
Rider 6.0 100.0
Niagara 9.0 100.0
Manhattan 10.0 100.0
Quinnipiac 8.0 100.0
Marist 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Monmouth 18 - 2 100.0
St. Peter's 14 - 6 100.0
Iona 12 - 8 100.0
Siena 12 - 8 100.0
Canisius 10 - 10 100.0
Fairfield 11 - 9 100.0
Rider 10 - 10 100.0
Niagara 6 - 14 100.0
Manhattan 5 - 15 100.0
Quinnipiac 7 - 13 100.0
Marist 5 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Monmouth 100.0% 100.0
St. Peter's
Iona
Siena
Canisius
Fairfield
Rider
Niagara
Manhattan
Quinnipiac
Marist


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Monmouth 1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 0.1 0.9 0.0 99.0 1.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Iona 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.0 6.9 88.1 5.0
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Monmouth 1.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Iona 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.0 1.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 99.6 0.4
2nd Round 5.5% 0.1 94.5 5.5 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0